After a strong post mid-term rally, the market is pausing. Is it recharging or rolling over? We’ll look for clues on the charts as to the path price might take.
With the market showing signs of short-term weakness, we’re well served to pay closer attention to any changes in long term probabilities. This week we’ll look at the evidence to determine if we’re seeing cracks in the ice or short-term weakness.
With the markets reaching new highs people are asking if a top is forming. We’ll compare the current market conditions to previous market tops to answer the question.
September is seasonally a weak month for the S&P 500. With trade and emerging market concerns weighing on the market, the media is asking if we could be in for a September Swoon. To answer the question, we’ll look at seasonality, near term weakness and the long term charts.
With the Dow, S&P 500, NASDAQ and Russell 2000 all hitting new highs, the media loves to ask if winter is coming. We’ll look at three frequently discussed topics: recession, peak economic strength and the potential for an inverted yield curve. We’ll close with a look at the strength of the market trend.
This week the S&P 500, NASDAQ and Russell 2000 reached new highs. With the resumption of the bullish trend, we’ll look at the best performing sectors and how to select winners using relative strength. Since this week marks the official breakout from the 2018 correction, a table listing the characteristics of all corrections in the S&P 500 going back to 1936 is also included. We close with a look at the new highs in the S&P 500 and the long term trend.
This week the headlines were dominated by fears of emerging markets contagion from Turkey’s currency crisis and an economic slow down in China. While this is never a delight, we’ll learn about ways to determine when to sit tight and when to shift to defensive assets. Along the way we’ll review the health of the markets.
In this week’s video we’ll look to the charts to determine if the Bull Market was the first casualty in the Global Trade War. We’ll review economic data, the headlines that moved the markets and finish with a look at the week ahead.
In this week’s video we’ll look at economic growth and actions behind the scenes that are weighing on the market.
Trend following using an empirical model can increase the probability of successful investment outcomes. In this video we discuss Kaliber Capital Management’s approach to long-term trend following.